TERA models business and financing plans to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches, as well as anticipate future evolutions using quantitative methods (econometrics, predictive statistics, analysing qualitative data, polls) at the junction of qualitative information (an expert panel, consumer focus groups, trade-off studies, etc.).
We test the robustness of our forecasts by simulating the responsiveness of key parameters in business plans and via crash test scenarios. Analyses are also carried out in terms of opportunity costs to explore the best alternatives in launching a project and use of funds. These analyses can be furthered using the real options method to test the opportunity of launching the project in the short term or to delay the launch to stem future uncertainty, thereby lowering the risk and improving the likelihood of success and profitability.